If you want to read an NBA Draft preview that offers conventional wisdom, stop reading this right now.
If you want to peruse a draft story that will project the actual picks by the actual teams, go somewhere else. There are plenty of good mock drafts out there.
This draft preview is not about that.
We simply rank the best NBA prospects as we see fit, and we never give a damn about conventional wisdom, or base our picks on what the lottery GMs think.
Instead, we prefer to think outside the box, studying the winning moves of NBA championship contenders, and not replicating selections made by lottery-bound teams.
Dare we say, in that time, we have accumulated quite the track record.
During the last five NBA Drafts alone (see below), we have out-performed NBA GMs—using career win shares as the barometer—64 percent of the time with lottery picks (38-21-11) & 57 percent of the time with first-round picks (72-55-23).
Our secret? We rate prospects according to my NBAge ranking system, which combines analytics with class rankings, alongside subjective scouting as well.
Our metrics valuation, called the NBAge score, forecasts a plus-minus value for each player at the hypothetical age of 24, tabulating those numbers from prospects’ 2016 and/or 2015 collegiate/international statistics.
By comparing each prospect’s NBAge score to peers in their birth year, we create a simulation to how these prospects stack up with their NBA/collegiate/international brethren, thus, creating our NBAge rankings.
|1. Ante Zizic, Croatia
Center, 6-11, 254, 19 years old (1/4/97)
KK Cibona Zagreb (Croatia)
1st in Class of 1997; +4.93 NBAge
Any reservations anyone had about the quality of Adriatic League centers should have been dismissed in 2015-16 when Croatian center Nikola Jokic and Serbian giant Boban Marjanovic overwhelmed the NBA in limited action, showing that their AL dominance could translate to the big leagues. Zizic is the heir to their throne as a versatile power forward-center who can do it all—offense, defense, special teams—and has already done so as a teenager in a man’s league, rebounding and scoring with efficiency at unprecedented levels. He works hard (self-described “energy guy”), learns quickly, does a little bit of everything and plays smart. He can play above the rim, flying above others, and below the rim, banging with the bigs while also diving for loose balls to out-hustle the littles. What more do you want? A testimonial from David Blatt on Zizic? You got it.
|2. Ivica Zubac, Croatia
Center, 7-0, 240, 19 years old (3/18/97)
KK Mega Leks (Serbia)
2nd in Class of 1997; +6.03* NBAge
Zubac is the other half of the Z&Z Boyz—some say the better half of agent Misko Raznatovic’s unique Croatian combo. Zubac is straight-up center in the Marc Gasol mold. A big man who plays big in every sense of the word. This Bosnian-born, naturalized Croatian doesn’t have Zizic’s body of work at such a young age, but when Zubac has played, he has shone and showed just as much. A mid-season coaching change limited his 2015-16 playing time (first KK Cibona coach liked him; second, didn’t play him, which is why he then joined Mega Leks). Zubac is known for being a good finisher—he has such adept touch around the rim, with a variety of hooks, spins and shots to finish the job. Lotto teams will be kicking themselves for years if they let both Z&Z Boyz drop out of the top 14 picks to an NBA contender (not one mock draft projects either Zizic or Zubac as a lotto pick). Zubac is further along on offense than defense, but there is no reason he cannot stand out on both ends in time. He is a hard worker who wants to join the NBA immediately (his Mega Leks buyout is reasonable). In his past week in America, Zubac only gave four private workouts (Toronto, Boston, Memphis and Detroit).
|3. Georgios Papagiannis, Greece
Center, 7-2, 240, 18 years old (7/3/97)
3rd in Class of 1997; +5.58** NBAge
Papagiannis is the sleeper of this 2016 NBA Draft. In fact, lets just call him The Sleeping Giant because no draft expert has Papa G going in the first round of any mock draft. Not DraftExpress, ESPN, NBADraft.Net, nobody! That said, Papagiannis’ stock is rising. Just run his name on Twitter and watch all the NBA teams having him in for last-minute workouts. I guarantee one squad will take the growing 18-year-old who is rumored now to scale in at 7-2, 265 pounds with an even lower body fat and more athletic big-man overall game than he showed in 240 Greek League minutes (134 points at .687 true shooting percentage with 55 rebounds, 16 blocks and 28 fouls). Kentucky may not have landed Papagiannis as a recruit this season, but I’d have no qualms drafting him with a top 6 pick like he was one of the recent Wildcat-to-NBA bigs Anthony Davis, DeMarcus Cousins, Karl-Anthony Towns, Nerlens Noel, Enes Kanter and Willie Cauley-Stein. Kentucky Coach John Calipari knows an NBA center when he sees one.
|4. Chinanu Onuaku, USA
Center, 6-10, 245, 19 years old (11/1/96)
4th in Class of 1996; +2.58 NBAge
As Mark Twain once said, “The reports of the center position’s death have been greatly exaggerated.” Didn’t know Twain was an NBA fan, did you? On second thought, that may have been Phil Jackson’s quote. I get him and Twain confused sometimes. Just because every lotto GM is avoiding centers these days—in hopes of creating Warriors’ small-ball lineups—do not sleep on Onuaku. The Louisville center is being ignored similar to the way Gorgui Dieng was avoided back in 2014, despite leading the Cardinals to an NCAA championship. Onuaku not only has an elite rim-protecting game—anchoring college basketball’s fifth-rated defense—but he also is smart enough to improve his only weakness—horrid free-throw shooting—by going with the Rick Barry granny shots to significantly raise his charity-stripe percentage. Now Onuaku’s only yellow flag is a minor heart procedure he underwent in May that was deemed non-life-threatening by his doctors. Chinanu Onuaku (pronounced Chin-NA-nu On-nu-AH-Koo) trails only NBA players Justise Winslow, Devin Booker and D’Angelo Russell in our Class of 1996 rankings, rating just ahead of NBA forwards Stanley Johnson and Myles Turner. That said, Onuaku does not project to go first round in any mock drafts. Go figure.
|5. Thomas Walkup, USA
Point Guard, 6-4, 195, 23 years old (12/30/92)
Stephen F. Austin (USA)
7th in Class of 1992; +2.45 NBAge
If Papagiannis registers as our Sleeping Giant, then Walkup is our discovery from The Walking Dead. Nobody has Walkup on any draft Top 100 list, and for the life of me, I have no idea why (Update: on June 21, DraftExpress just added Walkup to their top 100 at No. 98). This future NBA combo guard has the work ethic of Kawhi Leonard and Draymond Green, and pretty much sported the all-around games of his NBA brethren by playing small forward at Stephen F. Austin while scoring (18 points per game), rebounding (7 per game) and playmaking (5 assists) his team to Cinderella success (upset No. 3 seed West Virginia in the first round of March Madness; lost to No. 6 seed Notre Dame by one point in the Round of 32 game). Walkup’s critics cite lack of athleticism (ala Green) and lack of three-point shot (ala Green and Leonard), but just as we overlooked those flaws in our love of The Claw (No. 3 on our 2011 NBAge list) and Day-Day (No. 13 on our 2012 NBAge list), we do so with Walkup because his college coach Brad Underwood also believes—ala Steve Fisher and Tom Izzo in respect to Leonard and Green—that Walkup will overcome both so-called red flags because he’s a high-character, high-IQ, hard-working winner. Lest we forget, the 6-4 Walkup boasted a .656 true shooting percentage in 2015-16, so shooting is not really the problem some NBA scouts would have you believe. That is why he ranks seventh among Class of 1992 peers, only trailing NBA vets Kyrie Irving, Cody Zeller, Rudy Gobert, Jared Sullinger, Victor Oladipo and Rodney Hood. Keep in mind too, he has a 6-8 wingspan on a running-back-strong body, which allowed him to play all five positions at SFA.
|6. Denzel Valentine, USA
Shooting Guard, 6-5, 210, 22 years old (11/16/93)
Michigan State (USA)
7th in Class of 1993; +1.84 NBAge
By no means are we comparing Valentine to James Harden. But we ask the question, Would you take Harden in an NBA Draft knowing full well that he doesn’t play much defense? Of course you would because the offensive benefits he offers greatly outweigh his defensive deficiencies. The same is true of Valentine, who is a good—not great—player on O, yet good enough to make his lack of D tolerable to play on an everyday basis. With his outside-inside, shooting guard game, the versatile Valentine plays with so much heart and such smarts on O that you can find ways to cover up for his weaknesses on the other end, especially when you see Valentine continuing to work on his defense (he played four positions in college). That said, who else in NCAA history averaged 19 points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists per game besides Valentine? Answer: Nobody. Shoot, nobody else is even in the 18-7-7 club. In our Class of 1993 rankings, Valentine ranks seventh, trailing NBA veterans Anthony Davis, Steven Adams, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Andre Drummond and Bradley Beal, while he ranks ahead of Otto Porter, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Kyle Anderson. Still, no mock drafts predict Valentine will be selected in the lottery rounds.
|7. Jakob Poeltl, Austria
Center, 7-1, 239, 20 years old (10/15/95)
8th in Class of 1995; +1.72 NBAge
Finally, a prospect we see somewhat eye-to-eye on. In every mock draft we’ve seen, Jakob Poeltl (pronounced YAW-cub PURR-tul) is projected to go ninth to Toronto Raptors or 12th to college hometown Utah Jazz. Poeltl’s game is built in the mold of another former great Utah collegiate center and foreigner Andrew Bogut. Though this Austrian seven-footer does not have the Australian Bogut’s mass and size just yet, the 20-year-old does have the overall game of his predecessor, standing out especially on defense and rebounding, while having a good understanding of the game offensively as well (though he is not the passer Bogut was and is). If this 7-1, 239 pounder can become a stretch 5 in the NBA—something he is now working on—he’ll offer a new wrinkle. Poeltl ranks eighth amongst his Class of 1995 peers, trailing big men Karl-Anthony Towns, Nikola Jokic, Kristaps Porzingis, Aaron Gordon, not to mention another Euro, along with wings Rondae Hollis-Jefferson and Andrew Wiggins.
|8. Deyonta Davis, USA
Power Forward, 6-11, 237, 19 years old (12/2/96)
Michigan State (USA)
7th in Class of 1996; +1.27 NBAge
The mocks like Davis going in the 13-16 range, but I like him even more than that, with size and a versatile game which allows him to be a rim-protecting big, either at power forward or center, for his new team. Plus, Davis is an excellent rebounder which might garner him immediate playing time despite his youth. His offensive game is still developing, but he will get there too. All in all, Davis is one of those bigs who should make big strides year to year at bargain prices under the four-year rookie window. He ranks seventh among our Class of 1996 picks, rating just behind NBA forwards Stanley Johnson and Myles Turner, who rank fifth and sixth, respectively.
|9. Domantas Sabonis, Lithuania
Power Forward, 6-10, 240, 20 years old (5/3/96)
8th in Class of 1996; +0.93 NBAge
Though he is the son of Hall of Famer Arvydas Sabonis, Domantas’ game is nothing like his mammoth father, who in his prime, had the body mass to move mountains, while also possessing the passing flair of a Bill Walton in his prime. No, the 20-year-old Sabonis is more athlete, run-the-floor big; a play-defense on-the-pick-and-roll type. The younger Sabonis has picked up his dad’s basketball IQ and competitive nature. He will be a good fit on any squad. That said, Sabonis only worked out for four teams (Toronto, Utah, Phoenix and Boston) and the mocks have him going anywhere from No. 8 through No. 13. Whoever gets Sabonis will be pleased since he will likely become a majority player (2000-plus NBA minutes) for years to come.
|10. Jamal Murray, USA
Point Guard, 6-5, 201, 19 years old (2/23/97)
7th in Class of 1997; +0.66 NBAge
The mock drafts have Murray going to either Minnesota or New Orleans at the fifth and sixth slots in the 2016 NBA Draft. Either squad would be getting a perfect fit for their team—he can play combo guard immediately—while learning the point-guard game under some top-shelf mentors in Ricky Rubio or Jrue Holiday, should either franchise draft Murray and keep the vets around. Murray’s college coach John Calipari raves about how his quarterback doubles as a combo guard. He has a score-first mentality, but Coach Cal will be the first to tell you he encouraged Murray to be that way, saying the scoring guard is an unselfish, high-character leader. It may take years to groom him into a true point guard, but he should be able to step into first- or second-string rotations as a shooting guard right away.
|11. Brice Johnson, USA
Power Forward, 6-10, 208, 21 years old (6/27/94)
North Carolina (USA)
8th in Class of 1994; +0.49 NBAge
Most NBA scouts see a fringe first-rounder in Johnson, but I see a better-than-average player who is going to have a nice career in the big leagues. He is everything you want in a big man, ready to plug into any team’s second-string unit ASAP. His workout marathon this week exemplifies the ethic this man brings to his game, doing whatever is asked of him. The Tar Heel has made himself into an explosive, energetic, lean-and-mean machine who is certain to log 20-plus minutes per game as a rookie. On the right team, he may get 4-6 points per game in transition scoring alone. Among his Class of 1994 peers, he rates eighth, only trailing NBA vets Jusuf Nurkic, Marcus Smart, Clint Capela, Nerlens Noel, Elfrid Payton, Gary Harris and Cameron Payne.
|12. Ben Simmons, Australia
Small Forward, 6-10, 240, 19 years old (7/20/96)
9th in Class of 1996; +0.34 NBAge
We like Everyone’s No. 1 pick Ben Simmons. I just do not like him as much as everyone else does. Is he The Next LeBron or the game-changing point forward that everybody else projects? I don’t see that, though I do think in the right situation, he could have a Lamar Odom or Boris Diaw type of career. Those are two players I love, but others find the comparison insulting to Simmons, who was a stat machine in college, averaging 19 points, 12 rebounds and 5 assists at LSU as an older freshman. Simmons has a great ability to see the floor as a point guard would and is especially fluid in transition. However, in half-court offenses, he will have to work with a point guard who is comfortable in playing off-the-ball so that Simmons’ passing skills can shine through, while his shooting flaws can be hidden. That said, it hardly matters what I think. The Sixers have already announced he is their No. 1 pick in the 2016 NBA Draft and the the newest face of the NBA come Thursday.
|13. Brandon Ingram, USA
Small Forward, 6-9, 190, 18 years old (9/2/97)
9th in Class of 1997; +0.05 NBAge
Speaking of conventional wisdom, I am not biting on the Kevin Durant comparisons to Ingram, though I do him as a good, lean scorer in the future as he develops in the NBA. Ingram comparisons should be more in line with another Dukie, Mike Dunleavy, who is as solid a pro’s pro as one could hope for in the 21st Century game. That said, all mock drafts have Ingram being drafted second by the Lakers. They will have to be patient because Ingram is young and has a lot of upside once he gains more weight. He’s a good guy who had a fine all-around season as a freshman at Duke and should have a better-than-average NBA career, at the very least.
|14. Diamond Stone, USA
Center, 6-10, 254, 19 years old (2/10/97)
10th in Class of 1997; -0.40 NBAge
Yes, indeed, there are a lot of good centers in this 2016 NBA Draft—half of the 14 lotto selections by our count are centers worth rolling the dice on. Stone is that diamond in the rough who could develop into a starting 5 if he lands on the right team, which may very well be a championship contender since the mocks have him as a fringe first-rounder. Stone is going to be one of those hit-or-miss picks. He is blessed with unbelievable offensive post-up talent, but needs work on other facets of his game before he is NBA-ready (passing, defense, rebounding). The good new is that Stone is only 19 and has years to develop. On the right team, he could prove to be a steal of a pick. Just don’t count on him to play right away as a rookie.
|15. Tyler Ulis, USA
Point Guard, 5-10, 149, 20 years old (1/5/96)
10th in Class of 1996; -0.42 NBAge
Murray gets the hype, but fellow Kentucky Wildcat Ulis is just as capable of running the point guard show for an NBA team. After all, he was the SEC Player and Defensive Player of the Year, as well as a first-team All-American. Not bad for a man who doesn’t even stand six-feet tall. Could easily envision a Darren Collison role developing for Ulis on any squad. If you need a true point guard to play right away from this 2016 NBA Draft, Ulis would be a good choice. At worst, he’ll be a good backup point guard. At best, who knows?
|16. Daniel Ochefu, USA
Center, 6-11, 245, 22 years old (12/15/93)
Though Ochefu is 22 and looks like he’s going on 32, keep in mind that he is a grown man who consistently outplays his more-hyped brethren time and time again, all the way en route to Villanova’s 2016 NCAA championship this season. Once again, no mock draft service ranks the center among their top 100 prospects, but I am sure he will outplay most of them at the NBA level once he gets his opportunity. He is too good on defense and rebounding to ignore anymore, and his total offensive game—much-improved—is no longer a weakness. Once he gets an NBA tryout, Ochefu will stick with that team.
|17. Derrick Jones Jr., USA
Small Forward, 6-7, 190, 19 years old (2/15/97)
NBA scouts typically love UNLV players (Rashad Vaughn, Christian Wood, Stephen Zimmerman, Patrick McCaw in the last two years alone). But for some reason, Jones has slipped from their radar, despite outplaying most of the Rebel alums in his one collegiate season as a teenager. No mock draft has Jones going in the first or second round, but you have to admire the 6-7 wing with the 6-11 wingspan whose athleticism and game tore up the Mountain West in his limited time there (12 points in 22 minutes per game while shooting 67 percent on 2s). Take a look at lefty and his insane hops.
|18. Marquese Chriss, USA
Power Forward, 6-10, 233, 18 years old (7/2/97)
Most mocks think the Suns will use their No. 4 pick to get Chriss, a young developing stretch power forward who may not quite be ready to assume a place in Phoenix just yet as The Next Markieff Morris. That said, he is a good, solid big whose athleticism is tantalizing, while his actual game is still developing and somewhat inefficient for the pros just yet. He is only 18 after all.
|19. Buddy Hield, USA
Shooting Guard, 6-5, 212, 22 years old (12/17/93)
Meanwhile, Hield at age 22 is instantly ready to plug into any NBA lineup, as either a second- or third-string shooting guard. How much upside the 22-year-old has remains to be seen. Teams love the fact that his game took a significant jump each of his four seasons at Oklahoma, giving some the idea that he may have major upside to his NBA game too despite his age. Add Hield to a playoff contender and he will be a good fit, but it may be asking a bit much for him to advance a lottery squad by himself (some mocks have him going anywhere from No. 5 through 8).
|20. Kris Dunn, USA
Point Guard, 6-4, 220, 22 years old (3/18/94)
Dunn’s story is one of overcoming many of life’s obstacles, so to see him rewarded as a top 5 pick—as most mocks have it—is a happy ending after all. There is no doubt he has the playmaking and defensive skills to play well at the NBA level, but one has to wonder if his shooting touch will hurt him at the pro level. He has obviously improved at that, which bodes well for his future, but is it enough to rank him ahead of younger talents Ulis and Murray, or even my obscure favorite, Walkup?
|21. Zhou Qi, China
Center, 7-2, 218, 20 years old (1/16/96)
Zhou Qi (pronounced Joe Chee) led the Chinese Basketball Association in blocked shots (3.2 swats in 34 minutes per game), which is saying something when the CBA boasted former NBA talents like Samuel Dalembert and Greg Oden. Whether his 16-point and 10-rebound CBA averages translate to the NBA remains to be seen (the mocks have him going in the second round with many teams afraid Qi is actually 21, 22 or even older). After all, his slight 7-2, 218-pound frame might be taken rather lightly by the stronger men roaming in The Association, if that is as big as he gets.
|22. Andrey Desyatnikov, Russia
Center, 7-3, 231, 22 years old (5/4/94)
Zenit St. Petersburg (Russia)
The late bloomer from Russia is a fringe second-rounder at best on most mock drafts, but there is enough evidence out there for a team to give him a shot as a third-string center. After all, what other 22-year-old has the teen-age global games experience as Deyatnikov, who has played well the past five seasons for the various Under 18, Under 19 and such squads for his country and region. Following that up with good, limited play in the VTB League and Eurocup, in addition to going toe-to-toe with Rudy Gobert, bodes well for the 7-3 giant who keeps on delivering.
|23. Jaylen Brown, USA
Small Forward, 6-7, 225, 19 years old (10/24/96)
NBA scouts love his athleticism, calling his upside worthy of a pick anywhere from the No. 4 through 8 range. That is somewhat surprising, seeing that he did not stand out more at Cal as some of his peers in the Class of 1996 did at their universities. Yes, Brown had a knack for scoring, but did so at very inefficient rates, making only 29 percent of his college 3s, 48 percent of his 2s and 65 percent of his free throws. A seven-foot wingspan is nice, but sometimes you want one of your top scoring threats to be able to knock down shots with at least some consistency.
|24. Dragan Bender, Croatia
Power Forward, 7-0, 225, 18 years old (11/17/97)
Maccabi Fox Tel Aviv (Israel)
His Maccabi Fox Tel Aviv coach barely played him, and when Bender did see action, the 18 year old offered little productivity in 86 Euroleague/Eurocup minutes (15 points on 26 shots, 12 rebounds and 5 blocks with 11 fouls). Yet in NBA team workouts the Croatian power forward has wowed all, and has been elevated to top 10 status in the various mock drafts. I am as big a fan of foreign bigs as anyone—just check out my top 3 prospects on this list—but Bender just does not have the body of work I’d like to see in someone that is garnering top 10 attention. Maybe if I was privy to the private workouts, I would see the passing, court vision and defensive potential that others are raving about.
|25. A.J. Hammons, USA
Center, 7-0, 250, 23 years old (8/27/92)
What? Another center! Yes, if you do not want to spend $15-$20 million on restricted free agents like Bismack Biyombo and Festus Ezeli this summer, it might behoove you to acquire a first-round pick and have your choice of $1 million big men this draft. Take Hammons, for example, a projected second-rounder who I think translates into a solid NBA backup with defensive rebounding ability that is now on par with his good rim-protecting and post-defending big-man skills.
|26. Caris LeVert, USA
Shooting Guard, 6-7, 191, 21 years old (8/25/94)
If LeVert didn’t undergo two left foot surgeries a year ago as well as lower left leg problems months ago, he would be a projected first-rounder in all the mock drafts. Obviously, you are taking a chance if you draft him with guaranteed money on a top 30 pick. But if the gamble pays off and he is healthy, you have yourself a solid shooter/playmaker off the bench who is ready to play NBA ball at age 21.
|27. Rade Zadorac, Serbia
Small Forward, 6-9, 205, 20 years old (8/12/95)
Mega Leks (Serbia)
Having played for Mega Leks in the tough Adriatic League for years, Zadorac has become one of the most consistently developing prospects overseas, elevating his game to second-round potential in some circles (and first-round potential in this circle). Zadorac is a good pull-up and spot-up shooter, is always thinking team-first and has the work ethic you like to see. He’d be a third-string rotation player on most NBA teams.
|28. Malcolm Brogdon, USA
Shooting Guard, 6-5, 223, 23 years old (12/11/92)
Brogdon is another wing who is ready to immediately step into some NBA team’s third string shooting guard spot and offer instant assistance. He may be the most mature man in the 2016 NBA Draft, and he will definitely make an NBA roster on his attitude alone. Throw in his penchant to play 3-and-D ball as a wing, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he became a second-string shooting guard in his rookie season. Every mock draft has Brogdon going early in the second round.
|29. Thon Maker, Sudan
Power Forward, 7-1, 216, 19 years old (2/25/97)
Athlete Institute (Canada)
The ever-developing, still-growing power forward reportedly gained 27 pounds over the last 16 months, which is a good sign for those hoping the Sudan product gets his weight up to 240-plus pounds as he—hopefully—rounds into a legit 7-1 NBA center one day. Is Maker on par with the other potentially great centers from his 1997 class? Zizik? Zubac? Papagiannis? No, not yet. But Maker does have the athleticism, frame and work ethic that makes it possible to improve to immense levels.
|30. Wade Baldwin, USA
Point Guard, 6-4, 202, 20 years old (3/29/96)
Baldwin is just such a good all-around player that he is bound to make someone’s roster, which is why all the mock drafts have him going in the late lottery, 12-through-14 range. There are other point guards that I may like more, but there is no denying Baldwin is a good player who will make somebody’s team for sure.
31. Furkan Korkmaz
32. Henry Ellenson
33. Skal Labissiere
34. Timothe Luwawu
35. Dejounte Murray
36. Pascal Siakam
37. Malik Beasley
38. Ron Baker
39. Stefan Jankovic
40. Petr Cornelie
41. Cheick Diallo
42. Jarrod Uthoff
43. Fred VanVleet
44. Guerschon Yabusele
45. James Webb
46. Kay Felder
47. Gary Payton II
48. Juan Hernangomez
49. Patrick McCaw
50. Sheldon McClellan
51. Perry Ellis
52. Robert Carter
53. Dorian Finney-Smith
54. Daniel Hamilton
55. Georges Niang
56. Isaia Cordinier
57. Paul Zipser
58. Damian Jones
59. Ben Bentil
60. Joel Bolomboy
* small sample size from 2015-16; ** small sample size from 2015-16 and 2014-15; # statistics derived from 2014-15 season; INC incomplete; NBAge our analytics plus-minus projection for a prospect when he turns 24 years old.
Our NBAge Picks Versus The NBA General Managers
|2011 NBA DRAFT: GM’s PICK||WE RECOMMENDED||SCORE|
|1. CLE Kyrie Irving (31.4)||Kyrie Irving (31.4)||T (0.0)|
|2. MIN Derrick Williams (13.0)||Derrick Williams (13.0)||T (0.0)|
|3. UTA Enes Kanter (20.7)||Kawhi Leonard (41.8)||W (+21.1)|
|4. CLE Tristan Thompson (27.6)||Kawhi Leonard (41.8)||W (+14.2)|
|5. TOR Jonas Valanciunas (25.7)||Kawhi Leonard (41.8)||W (+16.1)|
|6. WAS Jan Vesely (4.0)||Kawhi Leonard (41.8)||W (+37.8)|
|7. CHA* Bismack Biyombo (15.1)||Kawhi Leonard (41.8)||W (+26.7)|
|8. DET Brandon Knight (11.3)||Kawhi Leonard (41.8)||W (+30.5)|
|9. CHA Kemba Walker (24.6)||Kawhi Leonard (41.8)||W (+17.2)|
|10. SAC* Jimmer Fredette (2.4)||Kawhi Leonard (41.8)||W (+39.2)|
|11. GSW Klay Thompson (29.5)||Kawhi Leonard (41.8)||W (+12.3)|
|12. UTA Alec Burks (8.9)||Kawhi Leonard (41.8)||W (+32.9)|
|13. PHX Markieff Morris (14.7)||Kawhi Leonard (41.8)||W (+24.1)|
|14. HOU Marcus Morris (15.2)||Kawhi Leonard (41.8)||W (+26.6)|
|15. SAS* Kawhi Leonard (41.8)||Kawhi Leonard (41.8)||T (0.0)|
|16. PHI Nikola Vucevic (24.1)||Tobias Harris (18.8)||L (-5.3)|
|17. NYK Iman Shumpert (9.6)||Tobias Harris (18.8)||W (+9.2)|
|18. WAS Chris Singleton (2.3)||Tobias Harris (18.8)||W (+16.5)|
|19. MIL* Tobias Harris (18.8)||Tobias Harris (18.8)||T (0.0)|
|20. HOU* Donatas Motiejunas (7.0)||Jordan Hamilton (3.0)||L (-4.0)|
|21. POR Nolan Smith (-0.8)||Jordan Hamilton (3.0)||W (+3.8)|
|22. DEN Kenneth Faried (30.1)||Jordan Hamilton (3.0)||L (-27.1)|
|23. CHI* Nikola Mirotic (9.6)||Jordan Hamilton (3.0)||L (-6.6)|
|24. OKC Reggie Jackson (19.4)||Jordan Hamilton (3.0)||L (-16.4)|
|25. BKN Marshon Brooks (2.6)||Jordan Hamilton (3.0)||W (+0.4)|
|26. DEN* Jordan Hamilton (3.0)||Jordan Hamilton (3.0)||T (0.0)|
|27. BOS* JaJuan Johnson (0.2)||Tyler Honeycutt (-0.1)||L (-0.3)|
|28. MIA* Norris Cole (3.1)||Tyler Honeycutt (-0.1)||L (-3.2)|
|29. SAS Cory Joseph (11.8)||Tyler Honeycutt (-0.1)||L (-11.9)|
|30. CHI Jimmy Butler (35.5)||Tyler Honeycutt (-0.1)||L (-35.6)|
Career Win Shares listed in parentheses and used as the barometer on our Us vs. GMs scorecard; * denotes team that acquired draft pick; Link: Leonard was 3rd on our 2011 NBAge draft board; Harris, 10th; Hamilton, 12th; Honeycutt, 15th.
2011 NBA Draft Lottery Scorecard: 12-0-2 (+298.7)
2011 NBA Draft First-Round Scorecard: 16-9-5 (+221.4)
|2012 NBA DRAFT: GM’s PICK||WE RECOMMENDED||SCORE|
|1. NOP Anthony Davis (37.7)||Anthony Davis (37.7)||T (0.0)|
|2. CHA Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (9.6)||Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (9.6)||T (0.0)|
|3. WAS Bradley Beal (13.4)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||W (+2.0)|
|4. CLE Dion Waiters (5.8)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||W (+9.6)|
|5. SAC Thomas Robinson (3.7)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||W (+11.7)|
|6. POR Damian Lillard (35.2)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||L (-19.8)|
|7. GSW Harrison Barnes (17.7)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||L (-2.3)|
|8. TOR Terrence Ross (11.1)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||W (+4.3)|
|9. DET Andre Drummond (29.4)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||L (-14.0)|
|10. NOP Austin Rivers (2.9)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||W (+12.5)|
|11. POR Meyers Leonard (8.0)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||W (+7.4)|
|12. HOU Jeremy Lamb (7.8)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||W (+7.6)|
|13. PHX Kendall Marshall (1.0)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||W (+14.4)|
|14. MIL John Henson (11.1)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||W (+4.3)|
|15. PHI Mo Harkless (8.4)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||W (+7.0)|
|16. HOU Royce White (0.0)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||W (+15.4)|
|17. CLE* Tyler Zeller (12.8)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||W (+2.6)|
|18. HOU Terrence Jones (12.5)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||W (+2.9)|
|19. ORL Andrew Nicholson (4.0)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||W (+11.4)|
|20. DEN Evan Fournier (10.1)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||W (+5.3)|
|21. BOS Jared Sullinger (15.4)||Jared Sullinger (15.4)||T (0.0)|
|22. BOS Fab Melo (0.0)||Marquis Teague (-0.8)||L (-0.8)|
|23. ATL John Jenkins (2.7)||Marquis Teague (-0.8)||L (-2.7)|
|24. DAL* Jared Cunningham (0.2)||Marquis Teague (-0.8)||L (-1.0)|
|25. MEM Tony Wroten (-1.3)||Marquis Teague (-0.8)||W (+0.5)|
|26. IND Miles Plumlee (8.8)||Marquis Teague (-0.8)||L (-9.6)|
|27. PHI* Arnett Moultrie (1.7)||Marquis Teague (-0.8)||L (-2.5)|
|28. OKC Perry Jones (1.7)||Marquis Teague (-0.8)||L (-2.5)|
|29. CHI Marquis Teague (-0.8)||Marquis Teague (-0.8)||T (0.0)|
|30. GSW Festus Ezeli (5.9)||Draymond Green (24.7)||W (+18.8)|
Career Win Shares listed in parentheses and used as the barometer on our Us vs. GMs scorecard; * denotes team that acquired draft pick; Link: Sullinger was 3rd on our 2012 NBAge draft board; Teague, 4th; Green, 13th.
2012 NBA Draft Lottery Scorecard: 9-3-2 (+37.7)
2012 NBA Draft First-Round Scorecard: 17-9-4 (+82.5)
|2013 NBA DRAFT: GM’s PICK||WE RECOMMENDED||SCORE|
|1. CLE Anthony Bennett (0.0)||Nerlens Noel (7.0)||W (+7.0)|
|2. ORL Victor Oladipo (9.7)||Nerlens Noel (7.0)||L (-2.7)|
|3. WAS Otto Porter (8.3)||Nerlens Noel (7.0)||L (-1.3)|
|4. CHA Cody Zeller (12.7)||Nerlens Noel (7.0)||L (-5.7)|
|5. PHX Alex Len (4.9)||Nerlens Noel (7.0)||W (+2.1)|
|6. PHI Nerlens Noel (7.0)||Nerlens Noel (7.0)||T (0.0)|
|7. SAC Ben McLemore (3.6)||Trey Burke (5.4)||W (+1.8)|
|8. DET Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (10.0)||Trey Burke (5.4)||L (-4.6)|
|9. UTA* Trey Burke (5.4)||Trey Burke (5.4)||T (0.0)|
|10. POR C.J. McCollum (8.0)||Steven Adams (13.5)||W (+5.5)|
|11. PHI Michael Carter-Williams (3.3)||Steven Adams (13.5)||W (+10.2)|
|12. OKC Steven Adams (13.5)||Steven Adams (13.5)||T (0.0)|
|13. BOS* Kelly Olynyk (10.6)||Giannis Antetokounmpo (14.5)||W (+3.9)|
|14. MIN* Shabazz Muhammad (5.0)||Giannis Antetokounmpo (14.5)||W (+9.5)|
|15. MIL Giannis Antetokounmpo (14.5)||Giannis Antetokounmpo (14.5)||T (0.0)|
|16. TOR* Lucas Nogueira (0.7)||Mike Muscala (3.7)||W (+3.0)|
|17. ATL Dennis Schroder (3.9)||Mike Muscala (3.7)||L (-0.2)|
|18. DAL* Shane Larkin (3.0)||Mike Muscala (3.7)||W (+3.7)|
|19. CLE Sergey Karasev (0.8)||Mike Muscala (3.7)||W (+2.9)|
|20. CHI Tony Snell (4.5)||Mike Muscala (3.7)||L (-0.8)|
|21. MIN* Gorgui Dieng (13.0)||Mike Muscala (3.7)||L (-9.3)|
|22. BKN Mason Plumlee (15.5)||Mike Muscala (3.7)||L (-11.8)|
|23. IND Solomon Hill (6.0)||Mike Muscala (3.7)||L (-2.3)|
|24. NYK Tim Hardaway (5.8)||Mike Muscala (3.7)||L (-2.1)|
|25. LAC Reggie Bullock (1.5)||Mike Muscala (3.7)||W (+2.2)|
|26. OKC* Andre Roberson (6.4)||Mike Muscala (3.7)||L (-2.7)|
|27. UTA* Rudy Gobert (16.1)||Mike Muscala (3.7)||L (-12.4)|
|28. SAS Livio Jean-Charles (0.0)||Mike Muscala (3.7)||W (+3.7)|
|29. PHX* Archie Goodwin (0.5)||Mike Muscala (3.7)||W +3.2)|
|30. GSW* Nemanja Nedovic (-0.4)||Mike Muscala (3.7)||W (+4.1)|
Career Win Shares listed in parentheses and used as the barometer on our Us vs. GMs scorecard; * denotes team that acquired draft pick; Link: Noel was 1st on our NBAge draft board; Burke, 4th; Adams, 6th; Antetokounmpo, 13th; Muscala, 14th.
2013 NBA Draft Lottery Scorecard: 7-4-3 (+25.7)
2013 NBA Draft First-Round Scorecard: 14-12-4 (+6.9)
|2014 NBA DRAFT: GM’s PICK||WE RECOMMENDED||SCORE|
|1. MIN* Andrew Wiggins (6.2)||Doug McDermott (2.8)||L (-3.4)|
|2. MIL Jabari Parker (4.9)||Doug McDermott (2.8)||L (-2.1)|
|3. PHI Joel Embiid (0.0)||Doug McDermott (2.8)||W (+2.8)|
|4. ORL Aaron Gordon (6.4)||Doug McDermott (2.8)||L (-3.6)|
|5. UTA Dante Exum (-0.1)||Doug McDermott (2.8)||W (+2.9)|
|6. BOS Marcus Smart (5.8)||Doug McDermott (2.8)||L (-3.0)|
|7. LAL Julius Randle (1.6)||Doug McDermott (2.8)||W (+1.2)|
|8. SAC Nik Stauskas (1.0)||Doug McDermott (2.8)||W (+1.8)|
|9. CHA Noah Vonleh (1.6)||Doug McDermott (2.8)||W (1.2)|
|10. ORL* Elfrid Payton (4.6)||Doug McDermott (2.8)||L (-1.8)|
|11. CHI* Doug McDermott (2.8)||Doug McDermott (2.8)||T (0.0)|
|12. PHI* Dario Saric (0.0)||Jordan Adams (0.4)||W (+0.4)|
|13. MIN Zach LaVine (1.9)||Jordan Adams (0.4)||L (-1.5)|
|14. PHX T.J. Warren (3.3)||Jordan Adams (0.4)||L (-2.9)|
|15. ATL Adreian Payne (-1.0)||Jordan Adams (0.4)||W (+0.5)|
|16. DEN* Jusuf Nurkic (1.9)||Jordan Adams (0.4)||L (-2.3)|
|17. BOS James Young (0.4)||Jordan Adams (0.4)||T (0.0)|
|18. PHX Tyler Ennis (0.1)||Jordan Adams (0.4)||W (+0.3)|
|19. DEN* Gary Harris (3.3)||Jordan Adams (0.4)||L (-2.9)|
|20. TOR Bruno Caboclo (-0.4)||Jordan Adams (0.4)||W (+0.8)|
|21. OKC Mitch McGary (1.3)||Jordan Adams (0.4)||L (-0.9)|
|22. MEM Jordan Adams (0.4)||Jordan Adams (0.4)||T (0.0)|
|23. UTA Rodney Hood (8.1)||Jarnell Stokes (0.6)||L (-7.5)|
|24. MIA* Shabazz Napier (0.6)||Jarnell Stokes (0.6)||T (0.0)|
|25. HOU Clint Capela (4.5)||Jarnell Stokes (0.6)||L (-3.9)|
|26. CHA* P.J. Hairston (0.9)||Jarnell Stokes (0.6)||L (-0.3)|
|27. PHX Bogdan Bogdanovic (0.0)||Jarnell Stokes (0.6)||W (+0.6)|
|28. LAC C.J. Wilcox (0.3)||Jarnell Stokes (0.6)||W (+0.3)|
|29. OKC Josh Huestis (0.0)||Jarnell Stokes (0.6)||W (+0.6)|
|30. SAS Kyle Anderson (3.8)||Jarnell Stokes (0.6)||L (-3.2)|
Career Win Shares listed in parentheses and used as the barometer on our Us vs. GMs scorecard; * denotes team that acquired draft pick; Link: McDermott was 1st on our NBAge draft board; Adams, 6th; Stokes, 12th.
2014 NBA Draft Lottery Scorecard: 6-7-1 (-8.0)
2014 NBA Draft First-Round Scorecard: 12-14-4 (-25.9)
|2015 NBA DRAFT: GM’s PICK||WE RECOMMENDED||SCORE|
|1. MIN Karl-Anthony Towns (8.3)||Karl-Anthony Towns (8.3)||T (0.0)|
|2. LAL D’Angelo Russell (0.0)||Jahlil Okafor (1.2)||W (+1.2)|
|3. PHI Jahlil Okafor (1.2)||Jahlil Okafor (1.2)||T (0.0)|
|4. NYK Kristaps Porzingis (4.3)||Devin Booker (1.9)||L (-2.4)|
|5. ORL Mario Hezonja (0.9)||Devin Booker (1.9)||W (+1.0)|
|6. SAC Willie Cauley-Stein (3.8)||Devin Booker (1.9)||L (-1.9)|
|7. DEN Emmanuel Mudiay (-2.1)||Devin Booker (1.9)||W (+4.0)|
|8. DET Stanley Johnson (0.6)||Devin Booker (1.9)||W (+1.3)|
|9. CHA Frank Kaminsky (3.3)||Devin Booker (1.9)||L (-1.4)|
|10. MIA Justise Winslow (2.5)||Devin Booker (1.9)||L (-0.6)|
|11. IND Myles Turner (3.1)||Devin Booker (1.9)||L (-1.2)|
|12. UTA Trey Lyles (2.3)||Devin Booker (1.9)||L (-0.4)|
|13. PHX Devin Booker (1.9)||Devin Booker (1.9)||T (0.0)|
|14. OKC Cameron Payne (1.4)||Delon Wright (0.6)||L (-0.8)|
|15. WAS* Kelly Oubre (0.4)||Delon Wright (0.6)||W (+0.2)|
|16. BOS Terry Rozier (-0.3)||Delon Wright (0.6)||W (+0.9)|
|17. MIL Rashad Vaughn (-0.8)||Delon Wright (0.6)||W (+1.4)|
|18. HOU Sam Dekker (0.0)||Delon Wright (0.6)||W (+0.6)|
|19. NYK* Jerian Grant (0.8)||Delon Wright (0.6)||L (-0.2)|
|20. TOR Delon Wright (0.6)||Delon Wright (0.6)||T (0.0)|
|21. DAL Justin Anderson (1.1)||Justin Anderson (1.1)||T (0.0)|
|22. CHI Bobby Portis (1.5)||Tyus Jones (0.3)||L (-1.2)|
|23. BKN* Rondae Hollis-Johnson (1.2)||Tyus Jones (0.3)||L (-0.9)|
|24. MIN* Tyus Jones (0.3)||Tyus Jones (0.3)||T (0.0)|
|25. HOU Jarell Martin (0.8)||Montrezl Harrell (0.9)||W (+0.1)|
|26. SAS Nikola Milutinov (0.0)||Montrezl Harrell (0.9)||W (+0.9)|
|27. LAL Larry Nance Jr. (-1.3)||Montrezl Harrell (0.9)||L (-1.3)|
|28. BOS R.J. Hunter (0.3)||Montrezl Harrell (0.9)||W (+0.6)|
|29. BKN Chris McCullough (0.0)||Montrezl Harrell (0.9)||W (+0.6)|
|30. GSW Kevon Looney (0.1)||Montrezl Harrell (0.9)||W (+0.8)|
Career Win Shares listed in parentheses and used as the barometer on our Us vs. GMs scorecard; * denotes team that acquired draft pick; Link: Towns was 1st on our NBAge draft board; Okafor, 2nd; Booker, 3rd; Wright, 6th; Anderson, 12th; Jones, 13th; Harrell, 17th.
2015 NBA Draft Lottery Scorecard: 4-7-3 (-1.2)
2015 NBA Draft First-Round Scorecard: 13-11-6 (+1.3)